Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFlamengo to win ✗68% · @1.29
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independiente del Valle travel to face Flamengo on Friday 18 September in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, with Estádio do Maracanã the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Flamengo are 1st on 16 points after 6 matches; Independiente del Valle are 1st with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Flamengo, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Corinthians, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Independiente del Valle, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Libertad, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Flamengo, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Independiente del Valle.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Sep 2026) it ended Independiente del Valle 0–2 Flamengo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flamengo 1.9 xG, Independiente del Valle 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flamengo 68%, draw 20%, Independiente del Valle 12%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Flamengo to win (68%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flamengo 1–0 Independiente del Valle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flamengo68%fair 1.46 · @1.29
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @5.00
Independiente del Valle12%fair 8.51 · @9.00
2.59Expected goals
1.94Flamengo xG
0.65Independiente del Valle xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Flamengo 1.9 – 0.6 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Flamengo to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Independiente del Valle 12%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 1–0 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
