Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.35 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAEK Athens FC to win ✓72% · @1.11
Double chanceAEK Athens FC or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.81
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nestos Chrisoupolis welcome AEK Athens FC to Municipal Stadium of Chrysoupoli for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 2 September (15:00 WAT).
Current form
Nestos Chrisoupolis, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Apollon Pontou, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
AEK Athens FC, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kifisia, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nestos Chrisoupolis 0.4 xG, AEK Athens FC 1.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 53% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nestos Chrisoupolis 14%, draw 14%, AEK Athens FC 72%.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.37, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nestos Chrisoupolis 0–1 AEK Athens FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nestos Chrisoupolis14%fair 7.20 · @23.00
Draw14%fair 6.99 · @6.80
AEK Athens FC72%fair 1.39 · @1.11
2.06Expected goals
0.43Nestos Chrisoupolis xG
1.63AEK Athens FC xG
42%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–121%
0–217%
0–013%
0–39%
1–19%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nestos Chrisoupolis 0.4 – 1.6 AEK Athens FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Athens FC to win✓
72%
1.39
1.11
Double chance
AEK Athens FC or draw✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.36
Draw no bet
AEK Athens FC (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
AEK Athens FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
2.35 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.53 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.22
First team to score
AEK Athens FC to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Athens FC / FT AEK Athens FC✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
21%
4.81
–
Recent results
Nestos Chrisoupolis – last 6
WDWWWD
19 Aug
vs Apollon Pontou
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Kavala
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs PAS Giannina
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Makedonikos Neapolis
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Kampaniakos Chalastra
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ PAS Giannina
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AEK Athens FC – last 6
DWWDDW
30 Aug
@ Kifisia
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Levski Sofia
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs Iraklis 1908
4–0
W
18 Aug
@ Levski Sofia
0–0
D
12 Aug
vs OFI
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Kallithea
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nestos Chrisoupolis and AEK Athens FC.
What is the prediction for Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC?
On our numbers Nestos Chrisoupolis have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 14% and AEK Athens FC 72%.
How many goals will there be in Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC?
Our predicted score is Nestos Chrisoupolis 0–1 AEK Athens FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC?
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal Stadium of Chrysoupoli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Marko2
Kifisia2
Larisa0
Olympiakos Piraeus4
PAOK0
OFI0