Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultKalamata to win ✗65% · @1.57
Double chanceKalamata or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.92
Kalamata vs Larisa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Thursday 17 September: Kalamata v Larisa in the Cup, played at Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium.
Current form
Kalamata, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Volos NFC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Larisa, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Zakynthos, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kalamata 3.0 xG, Larisa 1.4 xG – a total near 4.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 81% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kalamata 65%, draw 24%, Larisa 11%.
Lower-risk option: Kalamata or draw (89%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kalamata 2–1 Larisa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kalamata65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.50
Larisa11%fair 9.29 · @5.00
4.40Expected goals
2.99Kalamata xG
1.41Larisa xG
64%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
4–16%
2–05%
3–05%
2–25%
From our goals model: Kalamata 3.0 – 1.4 Larisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kalamata to win✗
65%
1.54
1.57
Double chance
Kalamata or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Kalamata (draw no bet)
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Kalamata -1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
First team to score
Kalamata to score first✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Kalamata ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kalamata / FT Kalamata✗
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.92
–
Recent results
Kalamata – last 6
WDDLLW
13 Sep
vs Volos NFC
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Atromitos
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Volos NFC
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Panetolikos
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Aris Thessalonikis
2–3
L
19 Aug
vs Panetolikos
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Larisa – last 6
WDLWWL
12 Sep
vs Zakynthos
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Anagennisi Karditsas
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–4
L
17 Aug
@ Kallithea
3–1
W
11 Aug
@ Trikala
4–0
W
21 May
@ Kifisia
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalamata and Larisa.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Kalamata vs Larisa?
On our numbers Kalamata have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Larisa 11%.
How many goals will there be in Kalamata vs Larisa?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalamata vs Larisa?
Our predicted score is Kalamata 2–1 Larisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Kalamata vs Larisa?
Kalamata vs Larisa (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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