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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Olympic Charleroi v Habay-la-Neuve: numbers & prediction

Cup · Belgium · Stade de la Neuville

Olympic Charleroi

LDLWL
1–1
FTPens

Habay-la-Neuve

WDLLL
Olympic Charleroi 22%Draw 49%Habay-la-Neuve 30% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.64
78%
Betarazi pick

Habay-la-Neuve or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.40Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.80 – our chance 49% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +85%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✓49% · @3.80
Double chanceHabay-la-Neuve or draw ✓78% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 15.48

Olympic Charleroi vs Habay-la-Neuve: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Olympic Charleroi welcome Habay-la-Neuve to Stade de la Neuville for a Cup fixture on Saturday 26 September (19:00 WAT).

Current form

Olympic Charleroi, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Tubize, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Habay-la-Neuve, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Flénu, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olympic Charleroi 1.5 xG, Habay-la-Neuve 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Olympic Charleroi 22%, draw 49%, Habay-la-Neuve 30%.
  • Lower-risk option: Habay-la-Neuve or draw (78%) at 1.40.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Habay-la-Neuve or draw (78%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olympic Charleroi 1–1 Habay-la-Neuve. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olympic Charleroi22%fair 4.62 · @2.80
Draw49%fair 2.06 · @3.80
Habay-la-Neuve30%fair 3.37 · @2.05
3.10Expected goals
1.46Olympic Charleroi xG
1.64Habay-la-Neuve xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Olympic Charleroi 1.5 – 1.6 Habay-la-Neuve expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✓49%2.063.80 ▲
Double chanceHabay-la-Neuve or draw ✓78%1.281.40 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.50
Draw no betHabay-la-Neuve (draw no bet)58%1.73–
Asian handicapOlympic Charleroi +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
First team to scoreHabay-la-Neuve to score first ✗51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Habay-la-Neuve / FT Habay-la-Neuve ✗25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6%15.48–

Recent results

Olympic Charleroi – last 6

LDLWLL
19 Sepvs Tubize1–3L
12 Sepvs Union Saint-Gilloise II1–1D
5 Sep@ Albert Quévy-Mons0–3L
30 Aug@ Onhaye2–0W
17 Apr@ RSC Anderlecht II0–5L
5 Apr@ Liège1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Habay-la-Neuve – last 6

WDLLLL
20 Sepvs Flénu2–1W
13 Sepvs Standard Liège II0–0D
5 Sep@ Union Saint-Gilloise II0–2L
29 Aug@ Rochefort2–4L
26 Augvs RWDM1–2L
10 May@ Excelsior Virton0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Olympic Charleroi and Habay-la-Neuve.

Olympic Charleroi vs Habay-la-Neuve head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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FT Lokeren-Temse5 Houtvenne0 163%1.38X18%5.25219%5.00 2.2–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Mandel United1 Sporting Hasselt3 114%4.33X20%4.00266%1.57 0.9–2.2xG 2Sporting Hasselt to win 66%@1.57 ✓
FT Roeselare Daisel1 Patro Eisden2 125%2.90X18%4.00257%1.91 1.2–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olympic Charleroi vs Habay-la-Neuve?

Our pick is Habay-la-Neuve or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Olympic Charleroi vs Habay-la-Neuve?

On our numbers Olympic Charleroi have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 49% and Habay-la-Neuve 30%.

How many goals will there be in Olympic Charleroi vs Habay-la-Neuve?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olympic Charleroi vs Habay-la-Neuve?

Our predicted score is Olympic Charleroi 1–1 Habay-la-Neuve, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Olympic Charleroi vs Habay-la-Neuve?

Olympic Charleroi vs Habay-la-Neuve (Cup) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Neuville.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.