Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Torque welcome Cerro Largo to Estadio Centenario for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Friday 4 September (23:00 WAT). In the table, Atletico Torque are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Cerro Largo are 15th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Torque, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Danubio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Cerro Largo, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Liverpool Montevideo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atletico Torque, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Cerro Largo.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Mar 2026) it ended Cerro Largo 0–1 Atletico Torque.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Torque 1.7 xG, Cerro Largo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Torque 61%, draw 21%, Cerro Largo 18%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Torque 1–0 Cerro Largo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Torque61%fair 1.63 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.55
Cerro Largo18%fair 5.67 · @5.00
2.53Expected goals
1.75Atletico Torque xG
0.79Cerro Largo xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.7 – 0.8 Cerro Largo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?
On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cerro Largo 18%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?
Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–0 Cerro Largo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?
Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.