Wednesday 11 November 2026 6 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Torque v Cerro Largo: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Centenario
2–1
FT
Atletico Torque 61%Draw 21%Cerro Largo 18% Expected goals 1.75 – 0.79
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Torque to win ✓61% · @1.65
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.50

Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico Torque welcome Cerro Largo to Estadio Centenario for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Friday 4 September (23:00 WAT). In the table, Atletico Torque are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Cerro Largo are 15th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atletico Torque, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Danubio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Cerro Largo, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Liverpool Montevideo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Atletico Torque, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Cerro Largo.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Mar 2026) it ended Cerro Largo 0–1 Atletico Torque.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Torque 1.7 xG, Cerro Largo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Torque 61%, draw 21%, Cerro Largo 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Torque 1–0 Cerro Largo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Torque61%fair 1.63 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.55
Cerro Largo18%fair 5.67 · @5.00
2.53Expected goals
1.75Atletico Torque xG
0.79Cerro Largo xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.7 – 0.8 Cerro Largo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Torque to win ✓61%1.631.65
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw ✓82%1.211.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.85
Draw no betAtletico Torque (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapAtletico Torque -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreAtletico Torque to score first ✗63%1.58–
Half-time resultAtletico Torque ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque ✗38%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.50–

Recent results

Atletico Torque – last 6

WWLWWW
2 Sepvs Danubio2–0W
29 Aug@ Defensor Sporting3–1W
27 Aug@ Penarol0–1L
23 Augvs Wanderers5–1W
20 Augvs Tigre2–1W
15 Aug@ Juventud1–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cerro Largo – last 6

DLDDDL
30 Augvs Liverpool Montevideo1–1D
26 Aug@ Plaza Colonia1–2L
22 Augvs Defensor Sporting1–1D
15 Aug@ Wanderers1–1D
7 Augvs Juventud1–1D
1 Aug@ Penarol0–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Mar 2026Cerro Largo v Atletico Torque0–1
Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?

On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cerro Largo 18%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?

Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–0 Cerro Largo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?

Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.