Value bet: Progreso to win @ 3.40 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlbion FC to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Albion FC vs Progreso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Monday 7 September: Albion FC v Progreso in the Primera División Apertura, played at Estadio Luis Franzini. In the table, Albion FC are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Progreso are 7th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Albion FC, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Progreso, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Progreso, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Albion FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Sep 2026) it ended Albion FC 2–1 Progreso. The last 2 head-to-heads: Albion FC 2 wins, Progreso 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albion FC 1.3 xG, Progreso 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albion FC 45%, draw 23%, Progreso 31%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Progreso to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albion FC 1–1 Progreso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albion FC45%fair 2.20 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Progreso31%fair 3.19 · @3.40
2.37Expected goals
1.33Albion FC xG
1.04Progreso xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Albion FC 1.3 – 1.0 Progreso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Albion FC vs Progreso?
On our numbers Albion FC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Progreso 31%.
How many goals will there be in Albion FC vs Progreso?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albion FC vs Progreso?
Our predicted score is Albion FC 1–1 Progreso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Albion FC vs Progreso?
Albion FC vs Progreso (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
