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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ipswich v Arsenal: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · Portman Road

Ipswich

WLLWW
2–4
FT

Arsenal

WWWWW
Ipswich 13%Draw 19%Arsenal 68% Expected goals 1.24 – 2.76
68%
Betarazi pick

Arsenal to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultArsenal to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56

Ipswich vs Arsenal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 15 September the League Cup brings Ipswich against Arsenal at Portman Road. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Ipswich, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Crystal Palace, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Arsenal, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sunderland, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Arsenal, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Ipswich.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ipswich 1.2 xG, Arsenal 2.8 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ipswich 13%, draw 19%, Arsenal 68%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Arsenal to win (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ipswich 1–2 Arsenal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ipswich13%fair 7.56 · @7.50
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @4.60
Arsenal68%fair 1.47 · @1.36
4.00Expected goals
1.24Ipswich xG
2.76Arsenal xG
58%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–36%
1–16%
1–45%

From our goals model: Ipswich 1.2 – 2.8 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal to win ✓68%1.471.36
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓87%1.151.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.83 ▲
Draw no betArsenal (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapArsenal -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
First team to scoreArsenal to score first ✓68%1.48–
Half-time resultArsenal ahead at half-time ✓53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal / FT Arsenal ✓47%2.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.56–

Recent results

Ipswich – last 6

WLLWWW
12 Sep@ Crystal Palace3–2W
4 Sepvs Liverpool0–2L
30 Aug@ Manchester United2–5L
25 Augvs Leicester3–1W
22 Augvs Sunderland2–1W
15 Aug@ Union Berlin4–2W
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Arsenal – last 6

WWWWWW
12 Sep@ Sunderland2–0W
9 Sep@ Napoli1–0W
6 Sepvs Chelsea2–1W
31 Aug@ Aston Villa1–0W
21 Augvs Coventry3–0W
16 Augvs Manchester City3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ipswich and Arsenal.

Ipswich vs Arsenal head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ipswich vs Arsenal?

Our pick is Arsenal to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Ipswich vs Arsenal?

On our numbers Ipswich have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arsenal 68%.

How many goals will there be in Ipswich vs Arsenal?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Arsenal?

Our predicted score is Ipswich 1–2 Arsenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Ipswich vs Arsenal?

Ipswich vs Arsenal (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Portman Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.