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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vasco DA Gama v Santa Fe: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America
2–0
FT
Vasco DA Gama 63%Draw 23%Santa Fe 14% Expected goals 1.57 – 0.56
63%
Betarazi pick

Vasco DA Gama to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.36

Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 15 September the CONMEBOL Sudamericana brings Vasco DA Gama against Santa Fe. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT.

Current form

Vasco DA Gama, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gremio, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Santa Fe, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportes Tolima, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Sep 2026) it ended Santa Fe 0–0 Vasco DA Gama.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 1.6 xG, Santa Fe 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 63%, draw 23%, Santa Fe 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vasco DA Gama to win (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vasco DA Gama63%fair 1.59 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.70
Santa Fe14%fair 7.17 · @6.00
2.13Expected goals
1.57Vasco DA Gama xG
0.56Santa Fe xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.6 – 0.6 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVasco DA Gama to win ✓63%1.591.50
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓86%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.62
Draw no betVasco DA Gama (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapVasco DA Gama -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreVasco DA Gama to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vasco DA Gama / FT Vasco DA Gama ✓38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.36–

Recent results

Vasco DA Gama – last 6

WDLWWW
12 Sep@ Gremio2–1W
8 Sep@ Santa Fe0–0D
6 Sep@ Fluminense0–1L
3 Sep@ Vitoria2–0W
30 Augvs Cruzeiro3–1W
27 Augvs Vitoria1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Santa Fe – last 6

WDDWDD
12 Sepvs Deportes Tolima1–0W
8 Sepvs Vasco DA Gama0–0D
6 Sepvs Fortaleza FC2–2D
3 Sepvs Millonarios3–2W
30 Aug@ Junior1–1D
27 Aug@ River Plate1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Sep 2026Santa Fe v Vasco DA Gama0–0
Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia6411+413
2Vasco DA Gama6312+410
3A. Italiano6213-27
4Barracas Central6033-63

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?

Our pick is Vasco DA Gama to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?

On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santa Fe 14%.

How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?

Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?

Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.