Vasco DA Gama 63%Draw 23%Santa Fe 14%Expected goals 1.57 – 0.56
63%
Betarazi pick
Vasco DA Gama to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.36
Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 15 September the CONMEBOL Sudamericana brings Vasco DA Gama against Santa Fe. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gremio, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Santa Fe, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportes Tolima, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Sep 2026) it ended Santa Fe 0–0 Vasco DA Gama.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 1.6 xG, Santa Fe 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 63%, draw 23%, Santa Fe 14%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vasco DA Gama to win (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vasco DA Gama63%fair 1.59 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.70
Santa Fe14%fair 7.17 · @6.00
2.13Expected goals
1.57Vasco DA Gama xG
0.56Santa Fe xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.6 – 0.6 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Vasco DA Gama to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santa Fe 14%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.