Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.35Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 51% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +68%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗51% · @3.30
Double chanceAl-Ahli Jeddah or draw ✗80% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @2.38
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗37% · fair 2.72
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Ahli Jeddah travel to face Mamelodi Sundowns on Saturday 19 September in the FIFA Intercontinental Cup, with Loftus Versfeld Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Mamelodi Sundowns, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chippa United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Al-Ahli Jeddah, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pakhtakor, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Mamelodi Sundowns, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mamelodi Sundowns 0.4 xG, Al-Ahli Jeddah 0.6 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mamelodi Sundowns 20%, draw 51%, Al-Ahli Jeddah 29%.
Lower-risk option: Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw (80%) at 1.35.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 2.38.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw (80%, odds 1.35 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mamelodi Sundowns 0–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mamelodi Sundowns20%fair 4.93 · @2.90
Draw51%fair 1.96 · @3.30
Al-Ahli Jeddah29%fair 3.49 · @2.05
1.00Expected goals
0.44Mamelodi Sundowns xG
0.56Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
50%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–037%
0–121%
1–016%
1–19%
0–26%
2–04%
From our goals model: Mamelodi Sundowns 0.4 – 0.6 Al-Ahli Jeddah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
51%
1.96
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.35 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.38 ▲
Draw no bet
Al-Ahli Jeddah (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Mamelodi Sundowns +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
First team to score
No goal✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
37%
2.72
–
Recent results
Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6
DWWWWW
12 Sep
@ Chippa United
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Siwelele
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Golden Arrows
2–1
W
2 Sep
vs Milford FC
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Golden Arrows
3–2
W
26 Aug
vs Amazulu
5–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 6
DWLWLL
14 Sep
vs Pakhtakor
1–1
D
11 Sep
vs Al-Hazm
3–1
W
8 Sep
@ Al-Qadisiyah FC
2–3
L
4 Sep
vs Al Riyadh
5–0
W
1 Sep
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Al Kholood
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mamelodi Sundowns and Al-Ahli Jeddah.
What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our pick is Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
On our numbers Mamelodi Sundowns have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Al-Ahli Jeddah 29%.
How many goals will there be in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our predicted score is Mamelodi Sundowns 0–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah (FIFA Intercontinental Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
