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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rentistas v Plaza Colonia: numbers & prediction

Copa Uruguay · Uruguay
2–1
FT
Rentistas 29%Draw 25%Plaza Colonia 46% Expected goals 0.61 – 0.89
55%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.73Odds
2

Value bet: Plaza Colonia to win @ 2.50 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✗46% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.02

Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rentistas welcome Plaza Colonia for a Copa Uruguay fixture on Wednesday 16 September (19:30 WAT).

Current form

Rentistas, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Colón, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Plaza Colonia, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sportivo Huracan, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Plaza Colonia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Rentistas.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Aug 2026) it ended Rentistas 1–1 Plaza Colonia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rentistas 0.6 xG, Plaza Colonia 0.9 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rentistas 29%, draw 25%, Plaza Colonia 46%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Plaza Colonia to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rentistas 0–0 Plaza Colonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rentistas29%fair 3.40 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
Plaza Colonia46%fair 2.17 · @2.50
1.50Expected goals
0.61Rentistas xG
0.89Plaza Colonia xG
45%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–022%
0–120%
1–014%
1–112%
0–29%
1–25%

From our goals model: Rentistas 0.6 – 0.9 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlaza Colonia to win ✗46%2.172.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.831.73
Draw no betPlaza Colonia (draw no bet) ✗61%1.64–
Asian handicapRentistas +1 (Asian handicap) ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scorePlaza Colonia to score first46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓57%1.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗29%3.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20%5.02–

Recent results

Rentistas – last 6

WWDDDL
13 Sep@ Colón1–0W
6 Sepvs Fenix2–1W
30 Aug@ CA River Plate0–0D
25 Aug@ Defensor Sporting0–0D
21 Aug@ Miramar1–1D
16 Augvs Tacuarembo0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Plaza Colonia – last 6

WWLWDW
12 Sep@ Sportivo Huracan2–1W
7 Sepvs Uruguay Montevideo1–0W
31 Aug@ Oriental0–2L
26 Augvs Cerro Largo2–1W
21 Augvs Colón1–1D
16 Aug@ Fenix4–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Aug 2026Rentistas v Plaza Colonia1–1
Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia?

On our numbers Rentistas have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Plaza Colonia 46%.

How many goals will there be in Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia?

Our predicted score is Rentistas 0–0 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia?

Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.