Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRacing Montevideo to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceRacing Montevideo or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗22% · fair 4.49
Oriental vs Racing Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Friday 4 September: Oriental v Racing Montevideo in the Copa Uruguay.
Current form
Oriental, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Plaza Colonia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Racing Montevideo, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Albion FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Racing Montevideo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Oriental.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oriental 0.5 xG, Racing Montevideo 1.3 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oriental 15%, draw 25%, Racing Montevideo 61%.
Lower-risk option: Racing Montevideo or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oriental 0–1 Racing Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oriental15%fair 6.84 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.55
Racing Montevideo61%fair 1.65 · @1.70
1.79Expected goals
0.46Oriental xG
1.33Racing Montevideo xG
46%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–122%
0–017%
0–215%
1–110%
1–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Oriental 0.5 – 1.3 Racing Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Montevideo to win✓
61%
1.65
1.70
Double chance
Racing Montevideo or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Draw no bet
Racing Montevideo (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Oriental +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.77 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Racing Montevideo to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Montevideo / FT Racing Montevideo✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
22%
4.49
–
Recent results
Oriental – last 6
WLWDLL
31 Aug
vs Plaza Colonia
2–0
W
26 Aug
@ Juventud
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ La Luz
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Cerrito
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Atenas
0–1
L
3 Aug
@ Paysandu
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Racing Montevideo – last 6
WDWDWL
31 Aug
vs Albion FC
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Danubio
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Club Nacional
2–0
W
10 Aug
@ Deportivo Maldonado
2–2
D
2 Aug
vs Boston River
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Cerro
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oriental and Racing Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Oriental vs Racing Montevideo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Oriental vs Racing Montevideo?
On our numbers Oriental have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Racing Montevideo 61%.
How many goals will there be in Oriental vs Racing Montevideo?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oriental vs Racing Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Oriental 0–1 Racing Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Oriental vs Racing Montevideo?
Oriental vs Racing Montevideo (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
