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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ADT v Sporting Cristal: numbers & prediction

· · Estadio Alberto Gallardo

ADT

WLLLW
0–1
FT
ADT 33%Draw 23%Sporting Cristal 44% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.44
51%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.85Odds
1

Value bet: ADT to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.28

ADT vs Sporting Cristal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sporting Cristal travel to face ADT on Sunday 27 September in the , with Estadio Alberto Gallardo the venue – the ball rolls at 21:15 WAT.

Current form

ADT, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cienciano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Sporting Cristal, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atletico Grau, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Sporting Cristal, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for ADT.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Sporting Cristal 2–1 ADT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ADT 1.2 xG, Sporting Cristal 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ADT 33%, draw 23%, Sporting Cristal 44%.
  • Price worth noting: ADT to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADT 1–1 Sporting Cristal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ADT33%fair 3.02 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Sporting Cristal44%fair 2.29 · @2.20
2.66Expected goals
1.22ADT xG
1.44Sporting Cristal xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: ADT 1.2 – 1.4 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Cristal to win ✓44%2.292.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.97–
Draw no betSporting Cristal (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapADT +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.971.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreSporting Cristal to score first ✓50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal ✓25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.28–

Recent results

ADT – last 6

WLLLWL
23 Sepvs Cienciano2–1W
19 Sep@ Alianza Lima0–2L
7 Sep@ FBC Melgar0–3L
30 Augvs Sport Huancayo1–3L
27 Augvs UCV Moquegua2–0W
22 Aug@ Juan Pablo II College1–5L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sporting Cristal – last 6

WWWLWL
19 Sepvs Atletico Grau3–1W
13 Sep@ UCV Moquegua2–1W
6 Sepvs Club Deportivo Los Chankas5–0W
30 Aug@ Sport Boys0–1L
26 Augvs Sport Huancayo4–1W
21 Aug@ Alianza Atletico1–3L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Sporting Cristal v ADT2–1
ADT vs Sporting Cristal head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

On our numbers ADT have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting Cristal 44%.

How many goals will there be in ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

Our predicted score is ADT 1–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

ADT vs Sporting Cristal () kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.