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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sporting Cristal v ADT: numbers & prediction

· · Estadio Alberto Gallardo
5–0
FT

ADT

LWLLL
Sporting Cristal 60%Draw 22%ADT 18% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.84
60%
Betarazi pick

Sporting Cristal to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓60% · @1.53
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.83

Sporting Cristal vs ADT: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sporting Cristal welcome ADT to Estadio Alberto Gallardo for a fixture on Thursday 1 October (21:00 WAT).

Current form

Sporting Cristal, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over ADT, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

ADT, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sporting Cristal, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Sporting Cristal, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for ADT.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Sep 2026) it ended ADT 0–1 Sporting Cristal. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sporting Cristal 2 wins, ADT 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Cristal 1.8 xG, ADT 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Cristal 60%, draw 22%, ADT 18%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sporting Cristal to win (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Cristal 1–0 ADT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting Cristal60%fair 1.67 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.00
ADT18%fair 5.43 · @4.75
2.60Expected goals
1.76Sporting Cristal xG
0.84ADT xG
45%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 1.8 – 0.8 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Cristal to win ✓60%1.671.53
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓82%1.231.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.82–
Draw no betSporting Cristal (draw no bet) ✓77%1.31–
Asian handicapADT +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.981.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
First team to scoreSporting Cristal to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultSporting Cristal ahead at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal ✓37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7%14.83–

Recent results

Sporting Cristal – last 6

WWWWLW
27 Sep@ ADT1–0W
19 Sepvs Atletico Grau3–1W
13 Sep@ UCV Moquegua2–1W
6 Sepvs Club Deportivo Los Chankas5–0W
30 Aug@ Sport Boys0–1L
26 Augvs Sport Huancayo4–1W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

ADT – last 6

LWLLLW
27 Sepvs Sporting Cristal0–1L
23 Sepvs Cienciano2–1W
19 Sep@ Alianza Lima0–2L
7 Sep@ FBC Melgar0–3L
30 Augvs Sport Huancayo1–3L
27 Augvs UCV Moquegua2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Sep 2026ADT v Sporting Cristal0–1
24 May 2026Sporting Cristal v ADT2–1
Sporting Cristal vs ADT head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs ADT?

Our pick is Sporting Cristal to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs ADT?

On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and ADT 18%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs ADT?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs ADT?

Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 1–0 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Sporting Cristal vs ADT?

Sporting Cristal vs ADT () kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.