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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Melaka v Penang: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · Malaysia · Hang Jebat Stadium

Melaka

WLDLW
0–1
FT

Penang

LLWDD
Melaka 28%Draw 21%Penang 51% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.68
51%
Betarazi pick

Penang to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 2.50 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultPenang to win ✓51% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.48

Melaka vs Penang: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Melaka welcome Penang to Hang Jebat Stadium for a FA Cup fixture on Wednesday 2 September (13:00 WAT).

Current form

Melaka, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Negeri Sembilan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Penang, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sabah FA, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Melaka 1.2 xG, Penang 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Melaka 28%, draw 21%, Penang 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Penang to win (51%, odds 2.50 – longer than our fair 1.97, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Melaka 0–1 Penang. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Melaka28%fair 3.51 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Penang51%fair 1.97 · @2.50
2.87Expected goals
1.18Melaka xG
1.68Penang xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Melaka 1.2 – 1.7 Penang expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPenang to win ✓51%1.972.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.95–
Draw no betPenang (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapMelaka +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scorePenang to score first ✓55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Penang / FT Penang ✓30%3.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.48–

Recent results

Melaka – last 6

WLDLWW
30 Augvs Negeri Sembilan2–1W
22 Aug@ Terengganu0–3L
3 May@ Negeri Sembilan0–0D
28 Aprvs Johor Darul Takzim FC1–2L
23 Aprvs Sabah FA1–0W
15 Marvs Kelantan United2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Penang – last 6

LLWDDW
28 Aug@ Sabah FA0–2L
23 Augvs DPMM FC Brunei0–1L
15 Mayvs DPMM FC Brunei2–1W
8 May@ Pdrm1–1D
26 Aprvs Sabah FA0–0D
11 Marvs Kelantan United1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Melaka and Penang.

Melaka vs Penang head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Melaka vs Penang?

Our pick is Penang to win with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.50.

Who will win Melaka vs Penang?

On our numbers Melaka have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Penang 51%.

How many goals will there be in Melaka vs Penang?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Melaka vs Penang?

Our predicted score is Melaka 0–1 Penang, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Melaka vs Penang?

Melaka vs Penang (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hang Jebat Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.