Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 9 September the Cup brings Probiy Horodenka against Oleksandria. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Probiy Horodenka, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Ahrobiznes Volochysk, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Oleksandria, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Prykarpattia, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Oleksandria, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Probiy Horodenka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Probiy Horodenka 0.8 xG, Oleksandria 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Probiy Horodenka 12%, draw 21%, Oleksandria 67%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Probiy Horodenka 0–2 Oleksandria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Probiy Horodenka12%fair 8.31 · @5.75
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.60
Oleksandria67%fair 1.50 · @1.53
2.80Expected goals
0.76Probiy Horodenka xG
2.05Oleksandria xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Probiy Horodenka 0.8 – 2.0 Oleksandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oleksandria to win✗
67%
1.50
1.53
Double chance
Oleksandria or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Oleksandria (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Oleksandria -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Oleksandria to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Oleksandria ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oleksandria / FT Oleksandria✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Probiy Horodenka – last 6
LLWLDL
5 Sep
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–6
L
30 Aug
vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0–3
L
21 Aug
@ Lokomotiv Kyiv
3–1
W
14 Aug
@ Prykarpattia
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Chernihiv
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Metal Kharkiv
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Oleksandria – last 6
DWWWWD
5 Sep
@ Prykarpattia
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Chernihiv
1–0
W
21 Aug
@ Bratslav Vinnytsia
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Metal Kharkiv
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Inhulets
3–0
W
31 Jul
@ UCSA
4–4
D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Probiy Horodenka and Oleksandria.
What is the prediction for Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandria?
On our numbers Probiy Horodenka have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Oleksandria 67%.
How many goals will there be in Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandria?
Our predicted score is Probiy Horodenka 0–2 Oleksandria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandria?
Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandria (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk1
Livyi Bereh1
Polessya2
Kudrivka0