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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vukovar v HNK Cibalia: numbers & prediction

Cup · Croatia

Vukovar

DLWWD
1–0
FT
Vukovar 46%Draw 22%HNK Cibalia 32% Expected goals 2.08 – 1.72
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVukovar to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.02

Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vukovar welcome HNK Cibalia for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 9 September (15:30 WAT).

Current form

Vukovar, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with HNK Cibalia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

HNK Cibalia, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vukovar, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended Vukovar 1–1 HNK Cibalia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vukovar 2.1 xG, HNK Cibalia 1.7 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vukovar 46%, draw 22%, HNK Cibalia 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vukovar 2–1 HNK Cibalia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vukovar46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
HNK Cibalia32%fair 3.15 · @3.30
3.80Expected goals
2.08Vukovar xG
1.72HNK Cibalia xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%

From our goals model: Vukovar 2.1 – 1.7 HNK Cibalia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVukovar to win ✓46%2.182.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.73 ▲
Draw no betVukovar (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapHNK Cibalia +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.241.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.651.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.681.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
First team to scoreVukovar to score first ✓54%1.87–
Half-time resultVukovar ahead at half-time ✗37%2.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vukovar / FT Vukovar ✗29%3.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.02–

Recent results

Vukovar – last 6

DLWWDL
5 Sepvs HNK Cibalia1–1D
2 Sepvs Dinamo Zagreb U212–6L
28 Augvs Segesta Sisak2–0W
25 Augvs Radnički Dalj4–1W
21 Aug@ Mladost Ždralovi1–1D
22 May@ HNK Hajduk Split3–6L
2.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

HNK Cibalia – last 6

DDDWLL
5 Sep@ Vukovar1–1D
2 Sepvs Orijent 19190–0D
28 Aug@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo1–1D
22 Augvs Dubrava Zagreb2–1W
8 Aug@ Mladost Ždralovi0–1L
22 Jul@ NK Osijek0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Sep 2026Vukovar v HNK Cibalia1–1
Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?

On our numbers Vukovar have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HNK Cibalia 32%.

How many goals will there be in Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?

Our predicted score is Vukovar 2–1 HNK Cibalia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?

Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.