Monagas II 63%Draw 25%Aragua FC 12%Expected goals 1.65 – 0.58
63%
Betarazi pick
Monagas II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultMonagas II to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceMonagas II or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.66
Monagas II vs Aragua FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Monagas II v Aragua FC in the Segunda División. In the table, Monagas II are 1st, leading the league, on 45 points after 25 matches; Aragua FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 43. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Monagas II, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Petare FC, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Aragua FC, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Yaracuyanos FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Monagas II, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Aragua FC.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Aragua FC 1–2 Monagas II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monagas II 1.6 xG, Aragua FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 40%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monagas II 63%, draw 25%, Aragua FC 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Monagas II to win (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monagas II 1–0 Aragua FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monagas II63%fair 1.59 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.30
Aragua FC12%fair 8.14 · @4.50
2.23Expected goals
1.65Monagas II xG
0.58Aragua FC xG
40%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Monagas II 1.6 – 0.6 Aragua FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monagas II vs Aragua FC?
Our pick is Monagas II to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Monagas II vs Aragua FC?
On our numbers Monagas II have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aragua FC 12%.
How many goals will there be in Monagas II vs Aragua FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monagas II vs Aragua FC?
Our predicted score is Monagas II 1–0 Aragua FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Monagas II vs Aragua FC?
Monagas II vs Aragua FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
