Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultCelaya to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceCelaya or draw ✓81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6% · fair 15.84
Chapulineros vs Celaya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Celaya travel to face Chapulineros on Saturday 12 September in the – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Chapulineros, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Racing de Veracruz, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Celaya, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tapachula, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Celaya, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Chapulineros.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Celaya 1–0 Chapulineros.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chapulineros 1.0 xG, Celaya 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 48% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chapulineros 19%, draw 22%, Celaya 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Celaya to win (59%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chapulineros 0–1 Celaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chapulineros19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
Celaya59%fair 1.71 · @1.80
2.92Expected goals
1.00Chapulineros xG
1.91Celaya xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Chapulineros 1.0 – 1.9 Celaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chapulineros vs Celaya?
Our pick is Celaya to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Chapulineros vs Celaya?
On our numbers Chapulineros have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Celaya 59%.
How many goals will there be in Chapulineros vs Celaya?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chapulineros vs Celaya?
Our predicted score is Chapulineros 0–1 Celaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chapulineros vs Celaya?
Chapulineros vs Celaya () kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
