Value bet: Inter Playa del Carmen to win @ 2.75 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultInter Playa del Carmen to win ✗42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the brings Tapachula against Inter Playa del Carmen at Tapachula Olympic Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Tapachula, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Celaya, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Inter Playa del Carmen, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Pioneros de Cancún, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tapachula 1.5 xG, Inter Playa del Carmen 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tapachula 37%, draw 21%, Inter Playa del Carmen 42%.
Price worth noting: Inter Playa del Carmen to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tapachula 1–2 Inter Playa del Carmen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tapachula37%fair 2.70 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Inter Playa del Carmen42%fair 2.40 · @2.75
3.03Expected goals
1.46Tapachula xG
1.57Inter Playa del Carmen xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tapachula 1.5 – 1.6 Inter Playa del Carmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter Playa del Carmen to win✗
42%
2.40
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Inter Playa del Carmen (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Tapachula +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Inter Playa del Carmen to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter Playa del Carmen / FT Inter Playa del Carmen✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Tapachula – last 6
LLLWWW
6 Sep
@ Celaya
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Racing de Veracruz
0–4
L
15 Apr
@ Tritons Vallarta
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Mexicali FC
4–0
W
28 Mar
@ Cañoneros Marina
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Pioneros de Cancún
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Inter Playa del Carmen – last 6
LDDWDW
8 Sep
vs Pioneros de Cancún
0–4
L
23 Apr
vs Real Apodaca
0–0
D
18 Apr
@ Tecos
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Tecos
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Celaya
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Chapulineros
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapachula and Inter Playa del Carmen.
What is the prediction for Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
On our numbers Tapachula have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Inter Playa del Carmen 42%.
How many goals will there be in Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Our predicted score is Tapachula 1–2 Inter Playa del Carmen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen () kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Tapachula Olympic Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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