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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tigres de Alica v Lobos ULMX: numbers & prediction

· · Estadio Nicolas Alvarez Ortega
1–1
FT
Tigres de Alica 63%Draw 20%Lobos ULMX 18% Expected goals 2.15 – 1.05
63%
Betarazi pick

Tigres de Alica to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTigres de Alica to win ✗63% · @1.44
Double chanceTigres de Alica or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lobos ULMX travel to face Tigres de Alica on Saturday 19 September in the , with Estadio Nicolas Alvarez Ortega the venue – the ball rolls at 03:30 WAT.

Current form

Tigres de Alica, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Irapuato, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Lobos ULMX, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Los Cabos United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tigres de Alica, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Lobos ULMX.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tigres de Alica 2.1 xG, Lobos ULMX 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tigres de Alica 63%, draw 20%, Lobos ULMX 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tigres de Alica to win (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigres de Alica 2–1 Lobos ULMX. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tigres de Alica63%fair 1.60 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.70
Lobos ULMX18%fair 5.64 · @6.50
3.20Expected goals
2.15Tigres de Alica xG
1.05Lobos ULMX xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Tigres de Alica 2.1 – 1.1 Lobos ULMX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTigres de Alica to win ✗63%1.601.44
Double chanceTigres de Alica or draw ✓82%1.221.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.91 ▲
Draw no betTigres de Alica (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapTigres de Alica -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreTigres de Alica to score first64%1.55–
Half-time resultTigres de Alica ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tigres de Alica / FT Tigres de Alica ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Tigres de Alica – last 6

LWWWLW
13 Sep@ Irapuato1–2L
6 Sep@ Los Cabos United2–1W
29 Augvs Zacatepec 19483–1W
19 Aprvs Deportivo Zap2–1W
15 Apr@ Deportivo Zap0–2L
12 Apr@ Los Cabos United2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lobos ULMX – last 6

LLWWWL
13 Sepvs Los Cabos United1–2L
5 Sep@ Zacatepec 19481–2L
29 Marvs Zitacuaro1–0W
20 Mar@ Atletico Hidalgo3–1W
15 Marvs Cordobés3–1W
1 Mar@ Gavilanes FC Matamoros0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tigres de Alica and Lobos ULMX.

Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX?

Our pick is Tigres de Alica to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX?

On our numbers Tigres de Alica have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lobos ULMX 18%.

How many goals will there be in Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX?

Our predicted score is Tigres de Alica 2–1 Lobos ULMX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX?

Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX () kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nicolas Alvarez Ortega.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.