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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Celaya v Montañeses: numbers & prediction

·

Celaya

DWLWD
2–1
FT

Montañeses

LDDWL
Celaya 46%Draw 23%Montañeses 32% Expected goals 1.66 – 1.34
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultCelaya to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.87

Celaya vs Montañeses: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Celaya welcome Montañeses for a fixture on Sunday 20 September (01:00 WAT).

Current form

Celaya, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chapulineros, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Montañeses, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Racing de Veracruz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Montañeses 5–1 Celaya.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Celaya 1.7 xG, Montañeses 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Celaya 46%, draw 23%, Montañeses 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celaya 1–1 Montañeses. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Celaya46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Montañeses32%fair 3.17 · @3.10
3.00Expected goals
1.66Celaya xG
1.34Montañeses xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Celaya 1.7 – 1.3 Montañeses expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCelaya to win ✓46%2.182.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.62
Draw no betCelaya (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapMontañeses +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreCelaya to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celaya / FT Celaya27%3.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.87–

Recent results

Celaya – last 6

DWLWDL
12 Sep@ Chapulineros1–1D
6 Sepvs Tapachula2–0W
26 Apr@ Cimarrones1–2L
23 Aprvs Cimarrones2–1W
12 Aprvs Jaguares de Chiapas1–1D
29 Mar@ Montañeses1–5L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Montañeses – last 6

LDDWLL
13 Sepvs Racing de Veracruz1–3L
6 Sep@ Jaguares de Chiapas2–2D
30 Augvs Deportiva Venados1–1D
29 Marvs Celaya5–1W
15 Marvs Racing de Veracruz1–3L
10 Mar@ Tapachula1–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Montañeses v Celaya5–1
Celaya vs Montañeses head-to-head page →

More predictions

FT Los Cabos United1 Tritons Vallarta0 145%2.15X23%3.10233%3.00 1.3–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.67 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celaya vs Montañeses?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Celaya vs Montañeses?

On our numbers Celaya have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montañeses 32%.

How many goals will there be in Celaya vs Montañeses?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Celaya vs Montañeses?

Our predicted score is Celaya 1–1 Montañeses, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Celaya vs Montañeses?

Celaya vs Montañeses () kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.