Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the brings Irapuato against Tritons Vallarta. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Irapuato, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lobos ULMX, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tritons Vallarta, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lobos ULMX, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Irapuato, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Tritons Vallarta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Irapuato 2.1 xG, Tritons Vallarta 0.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Irapuato 72%, draw 20%, Tritons Vallarta 8%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Irapuato to win (72%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Irapuato 2–0 Tritons Vallarta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Irapuato72%fair 1.38 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @5.00
Tritons Vallarta8%fair 12.82 · @12.00
2.60Expected goals
2.06Irapuato xG
0.54Tritons Vallarta xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–016%
1–015%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Irapuato 2.1 – 0.5 Tritons Vallarta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Irapuato to win✓
72%
1.38
1.22
Double chance
Irapuato or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Irapuato (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Irapuato -1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Irapuato to score first✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Irapuato ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Irapuato / FT Irapuato✗
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Irapuato – last 6
WWWWDW
27 Sep
vs Lobos ULMX
3–0
W
22 Sep
@ Reboceros La Piedad
3–2
W
13 Sep
vs Tigres de Alica
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Cordobés
3–0
W
19 Apr
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ Tapatío
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tritons Vallarta – last 6
LDLDDW
4 Oct
@ Lobos ULMX
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Tigres de Alica
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Los Cabos United
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Zacatepec 1948
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Deportiva Venados
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Tapachula
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Irapuato and Tritons Vallarta.
What is the prediction for Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta?
Our pick is Irapuato to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta?
On our numbers Irapuato have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tritons Vallarta 8%.
How many goals will there be in Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta?
Our predicted score is Irapuato 2–0 Tritons Vallarta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta?
Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta () kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportiva Venados1
Pioneros de Cancún4
Montañeses2
Tapachula1