Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultCelaya to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceCelaya or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.28
Celaya vs Cordobés: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the brings Celaya against Cordobés. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Celaya, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Racing de Veracruz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Cordobés, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lobos ULMX, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celaya 1.7 xG, Cordobés 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celaya 65%, draw 22%, Cordobés 13%.
Lower-risk option: Celaya or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Celaya to win (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celaya 1–0 Cordobés. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celaya65%fair 1.54 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.50
Cordobés13%fair 7.44 · @4.50
2.36Expected goals
1.74Celaya xG
0.62Cordobés xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Celaya 1.7 – 0.6 Cordobés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celaya to win✓
65%
1.54
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Celaya or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Celaya (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Celaya -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Celaya to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Celaya ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celaya / FT Celaya✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.28
–
Recent results
Celaya – last 6
LLDWDW
10 Oct
@ Racing de Veracruz
1–2
L
6 Oct
vs Jaguares de Chiapas
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Deportiva Venados
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Montañeses
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Chapulineros
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Tapachula
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cordobés – last 6
LWLLLW
18 Oct
@ Lobos ULMX
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Tigres de Alica
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Zacatepec 1948
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Reboceros La Piedad
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Irapuato
0–3
L
10 Apr
@ Atletico Hidalgo
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celaya and Cordobés.
Our pick is Celaya to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Celaya vs Cordobés?
On our numbers Celaya have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cordobés 13%.
How many goals will there be in Celaya vs Cordobés?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celaya vs Cordobés?
Our predicted score is Celaya 1–0 Cordobés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Celaya vs Cordobés?
Celaya vs Cordobés () kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
