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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tigres de Alica v Tapachula: numbers & prediction

·
4–1
FT
Tigres de Alica 75%Draw 16%Tapachula 9% Expected goals 2.46 – 0.73
75%
Betarazi pick

Tigres de Alica to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultTigres de Alica to win ✓75% · @1.20
Double chanceTigres de Alica or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.80

Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tigres de Alica welcome Tapachula for a fixture on Saturday 31 October (02:30 WAT).

Current form

Tigres de Alica, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Deportiva Venados, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Tapachula, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over H2O Purepechas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tigres de Alica 2.5 xG, Tapachula 0.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 44% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tigres de Alica 75%, draw 16%, Tapachula 9%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tigres de Alica to win (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigres de Alica 2–0 Tapachula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tigres de Alica75%fair 1.33 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.30 · @6.25
Tapachula9%fair 11.20 · @9.00
3.19Expected goals
2.46Tigres de Alica xG
0.73Tapachula xG
44%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%

From our goals model: Tigres de Alica 2.5 – 0.7 Tapachula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTigres de Alica to win ✓75%1.331.20
Double chanceTigres de Alica or draw ✓91%1.101.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.79–
Draw no betTigres de Alica (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapTigres de Alica -1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.65–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
First team to scoreTigres de Alica to score first74%1.35–
Half-time resultTigres de Alica ahead at half-time ✓55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tigres de Alica / FT Tigres de Alica ✓51%1.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%9.80–

Recent results

Tigres de Alica – last 6

LWLWDD
25 Oct@ Deportiva Venados1–3L
17 Octvs Reboceros La Piedad4–0W
10 Oct@ Cordobés0–1L
4 Octvs H2O Purepechas1–0W
27 Sepvs Tritons Vallarta1–1D
19 Sepvs Lobos ULMX1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tapachula – last 6

WLLLLW
25 Octvs H2O Purepechas1–0W
20 Octvs Deportiva Venados1–4L
11 Oct@ Montañeses1–2L
4 Octvs Chapulineros2–3L
19 Sep@ Pioneros de Cancún1–5L
13 Sepvs Inter Playa del Carmen2–0W
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tigres de Alica and Tapachula.

Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula head-to-head page →

More predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula?

Our pick is Tigres de Alica to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula?

On our numbers Tigres de Alica have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Tapachula 9%.

How many goals will there be in Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula?

Our predicted score is Tigres de Alica 2–0 Tapachula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula?

Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula () kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.