Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
2
Value bet: Zacatepec 1948 to win @ 1.74 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultZacatepec 1948 to win ✓63% · @1.74
Double chanceZacatepec 1948 or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Tapachula vs Zacatepec 1948: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 6 November: Tapachula v Zacatepec 1948 in the .
Current form
Tapachula, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Tigres de Alica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Zacatepec 1948, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Racing de Veracruz, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Zacatepec 1948, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Tapachula.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tapachula 1.0 xG, Zacatepec 1948 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tapachula 17%, draw 20%, Zacatepec 1948 63%.
Lower-risk option: Zacatepec 1948 or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Zacatepec 1948 to win @1.74 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tapachula 0–2 Zacatepec 1948. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tapachula17%fair 5.79 · @3.76
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.55
Zacatepec 194863%fair 1.60 · @1.74
2.98Expected goals
0.95Tapachula xG
2.03Zacatepec 1948 xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Tapachula 1.0 – 2.0 Zacatepec 1948 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zacatepec 1948 to win✓
63%
1.60
1.74 ▲
Double chance
Zacatepec 1948 or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.65
Draw no bet
Zacatepec 1948 (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Zacatepec 1948 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.09
First team to score
Zacatepec 1948 to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Zacatepec 1948 ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zacatepec 1948 / FT Zacatepec 1948✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Tapachula – last 6
LWLLLL
31 Oct
@ Tigres de Alica
1–4
L
25 Oct
vs H2O Purepechas
1–0
W
20 Oct
vs Deportiva Venados
1–4
L
11 Oct
@ Montañeses
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Chapulineros
2–3
L
19 Sep
@ Pioneros de Cancún
1–5
L
1.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zacatepec 1948 – last 6
LDLDWW
31 Oct
vs Racing de Veracruz
1–5
L
24 Oct
@ Pioneros de Cancún
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Irapuato
0–2
L
3 Oct
vs Reboceros La Piedad
2–2
D
26 Sep
@ Cordobés
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs H2O Purepechas
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapachula and Zacatepec 1948.
What is the prediction for Tapachula vs Zacatepec 1948?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tapachula vs Zacatepec 1948?
On our numbers Tapachula have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Zacatepec 1948 63%.
How many goals will there be in Tapachula vs Zacatepec 1948?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapachula vs Zacatepec 1948?
Our predicted score is Tapachula 0–2 Zacatepec 1948, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tapachula vs Zacatepec 1948?
Tapachula vs Zacatepec 1948 () kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
