Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al Nasr v Smail: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · Oman

Al Nasr

LDWWW
3–3
FT

Smail

DLDLW
Al Nasr 61%Draw 21%Smail 18% Expected goals 2.51 – 1.37
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Nasr to win ✗61% · @1.53
Double chanceAl Nasr or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24

Al Nasr vs Smail: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Al Nasr welcome Smail for a FA Cup fixture on Thursday 1 October (14:30 WAT).

Current form

Al Nasr, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Fanja, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Smail, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 5–5 draw with Dhofar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Al Nasr, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Smail.

Head to head

When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended Al Nasr 1–1 Smail.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Nasr 2.5 xG, Smail 1.4 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Nasr 61%, draw 21%, Smail 18%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Nasr 2–1 Smail. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Nasr61%fair 1.64 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.00
Smail18%fair 5.43 · @4.75
3.89Expected goals
2.51Al Nasr xG
1.37Smail xG
57%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%

From our goals model: Al Nasr 2.5 – 1.4 Smail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Nasr to win ✗61%1.641.53
Double chanceAl Nasr or draw ✓82%1.231.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.74–
Draw no betAl Nasr (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapAl Nasr -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.57 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗65%1.54–
First team to scoreAl Nasr to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultAl Nasr ahead at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Nasr / FT Al Nasr ✗41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.24–

Recent results

Al Nasr – last 6

LDWWWD
25 Sep@ Fanja1–3L
21 Sepvs Bahla2–2D
11 Sepvs Al Musannah2–0W
6 Sep@ Dhofar2–1W
30 Augvs Fanja2–0W
18 Mayvs Smail1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Smail – last 6

DLDLWL
25 Sepvs Dhofar5–5D
20 Sep@ Sur1–3L
10 Sepvs Fanja0–0D
5 Sep@ Ibri0–4L
31 Augvs Saham1–0W
23 Mayvs Bahla0–1L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 May 2026Al Nasr v Smail1–1
Al Nasr vs Smail head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Al Musannah2 Ibri2 138%2.90X22%3.25241%2.15 1.2–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 52%@1.90 ✗
FT Bahla4 Fanja0 167%1.20X15%6.50218%8.50 2.3–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Nasr vs Smail?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Al Nasr vs Smail?

On our numbers Al Nasr have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Smail 18%.

How many goals will there be in Al Nasr vs Smail?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Nasr vs Smail?

Our predicted score is Al Nasr 2–1 Smail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Al Nasr vs Smail?

Al Nasr vs Smail (FA Cup) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.