Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl-Shabab to win ✓61% · @1.50
Double chanceAl-Shabab or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.66
Al-Shabab vs Saham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Saham travel to face Al-Shabab on Friday 2 October in the FA Cup – the ball rolls at 15:25 WAT.
Current form
Al-Shabab, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al Musannah, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Saham, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Musannah, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al-Shabab, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Saham.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Al-Shabab 3–0 Saham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Shabab 1.6 xG, Saham 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Shabab 61%, draw 25%, Saham 14%.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Shabab to win (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Shabab 1–0 Saham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Shabab61%fair 1.63 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.60
Saham14%fair 7.35 · @5.75
2.20Expected goals
1.60Al-Shabab xG
0.60Saham xG
42%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Al-Shabab 1.6 – 0.6 Saham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al-Shabab to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Al-Shabab vs Saham?
On our numbers Al-Shabab have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Saham 14%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Shabab vs Saham?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Shabab vs Saham?
Our predicted score is Al-Shabab 1–0 Saham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al-Shabab vs Saham?
Al-Shabab vs Saham (FA Cup) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 15:25 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.