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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al-Shabab v Saham: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · Oman
2–1
FT

Saham

DDWWL
Al-Shabab 61%Draw 25%Saham 14% Expected goals 1.60 – 0.60
61%
Betarazi pick

Al-Shabab to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAl-Shabab to win ✓61% · @1.50
Double chanceAl-Shabab or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.66

Al-Shabab vs Saham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Saham travel to face Al-Shabab on Friday 2 October in the FA Cup – the ball rolls at 15:25 WAT.

Current form

Al-Shabab, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al Musannah, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Saham, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Musannah, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Al-Shabab, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Saham.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Al-Shabab 3–0 Saham.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al-Shabab 1.6 xG, Saham 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 42%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Shabab 61%, draw 25%, Saham 14%.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Al-Shabab to win (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Shabab 1–0 Saham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al-Shabab61%fair 1.63 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.60
Saham14%fair 7.35 · @5.75
2.20Expected goals
1.60Al-Shabab xG
0.60Saham xG
42%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Al-Shabab 1.6 – 0.6 Saham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl-Shabab to win ✓61%1.631.50
Double chanceAl-Shabab or draw ✓86%1.161.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗58%1.71–
Draw no betAl-Shabab (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapAl-Shabab -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.852.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreAl-Shabab to score first65%1.55–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al-Shabab / FT Al-Shabab ✗38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.66–

Recent results

Al-Shabab – last 6

WWLWWD
21 Sep@ Al Musannah1–0W
11 Sep@ Oman Club2–0W
5 Sepvs Al-Nahda2–3L
31 Aug@ Sur3–2W
23 May@ Al-Nahda3–2W
18 Mayvs Al Seeb0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Saham – last 6

DDWWLD
25 Sepvs Al Musannah1–1D
21 Sep@ Al-Nahda1–1D
10 Sep@ Ibri2–1W
5 Sepvs Bahla1–0W
31 Aug@ Smail0–1L
18 May@ Sohar2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Apr 2026Al-Shabab v Saham3–0
Al-Shabab vs Saham head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al-Shabab vs Saham?

Our pick is Al-Shabab to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Al-Shabab vs Saham?

On our numbers Al-Shabab have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Saham 14%.

How many goals will there be in Al-Shabab vs Saham?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al-Shabab vs Saham?

Our predicted score is Al-Shabab 1–0 Saham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Al-Shabab vs Saham?

Al-Shabab vs Saham (FA Cup) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 15:25 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.