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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al Nasr: numbers & prediction

League Cup · United-Arab-Emirates · Al Rashid Stadium
1–1
FT

Al Nasr

WDLLW
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 62%Draw 22%Al Nasr 16% Expected goals 2.63 – 1.37
84%
Betarazi pick

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultShabab Al Ahli Dubai to win ✗62% · @1.62
Double chanceShabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 2 October the League Cup brings Shabab Al Ahli Dubai against Al Nasr at Al Rashid Stadium. Kick-off: 16:45 WAT.

Current form

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hatta SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Al Nasr, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Dubai United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Al Nasr.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–1 Al Nasr.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2.6 xG, Al Nasr 1.4 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 62%, draw 22%, Al Nasr 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw (84%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–1 Al Nasr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai62%fair 1.61 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.90
Al Nasr16%fair 6.23 · @4.00
4.00Expected goals
2.63Shabab Al Ahli Dubai xG
1.37Al Nasr xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–06%

From our goals model: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2.6 – 1.4 Al Nasr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShabab Al Ahli Dubai to win ✗62%1.611.62
Double chanceShabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw ✓84%1.191.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.501.44
Draw no betShabab Al Ahli Dubai (draw no bet)79%1.26–
Asian handicapShabab Al Ahli Dubai -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scoreShabab Al Ahli Dubai to score first ✗64%1.55–
Half-time resultShabab Al Ahli Dubai ahead at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shabab Al Ahli Dubai / FT Shabab Al Ahli Dubai ✗43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.52–

Recent results

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai – last 6

DWDLWW
19 Sep@ Hatta SC2–2D
14 Sepvs Tractor Sazi1–0W
10 Sep@ Dubai United1–1D
5 Sepvs Al-Jazira1–3L
28 Aug@ Al-Wasl FC1–0W
22 Augvs Al-Dhafra2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Al Nasr – last 6

WDLLWD
20 Sepvs Dubai United3–1W
10 Sep@ Al-Jazira1–1D
6 Sepvs Ajman1–2L
29 Aug@ Al Ain1–2L
21 Augvs Al Wahda FC1–0W
14 Augvs Al-Ittihad Kalba2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al Nasr2–1
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr?

Our pick is Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr?

On our numbers Shabab Al Ahli Dubai have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Nasr 16%.

How many goals will there be in Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr?

Our predicted score is Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–1 Al Nasr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr?

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr (League Cup) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Al Rashid Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.