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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aveley v Cheshunt: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Aveley

WLWWL
4–2
FT

Cheshunt

DDDLD
Aveley 64%Draw 14%Cheshunt 22% Expected goals 2.05 – 1.06
64%
Betarazi pick

Aveley to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultAveley to win ✓64% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 15.56

Aveley vs Cheshunt: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aveley welcome Cheshunt for a FA Cup fixture on Friday 4 September (19:45 WAT).

Current form

Aveley, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Stanway Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Cheshunt, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with St Albans City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Aveley, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Cheshunt.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Cheshunt 2–0 Aveley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aveley 2.0 xG, Cheshunt 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 49% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aveley 64%, draw 14%, Cheshunt 22%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Aveley to win (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aveley 2–1 Cheshunt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aveley64%fair 1.57 · @1.55
Draw14%fair 7.31 · @4.33
Cheshunt22%fair 4.45 · @4.10
3.10Expected goals
2.05Aveley xG
1.06Cheshunt xG
49%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Aveley 2.0 – 1.1 Cheshunt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAveley to win ✓64%1.571.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.161.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.98–
Draw no betAveley (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapAveley -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
First team to scoreAveley to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultAveley ahead at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aveley / FT Aveley ✗38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6%15.56–

Recent results

Aveley – last 6

WLWWLD
31 Aug@ Stanway Rovers2–0W
29 Augvs Lewes0–2L
22 Aug@ Three Bridges5–1W
15 Augvs Whitehawk3–2W
11 Aug@ Maldon & Tiptree0–1L
8 Augvs Eastbourne Borough2–2D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cheshunt – last 6

DDDLDD
31 Augvs St Albans City1–1D
29 Aug@ Whyteleafe2–2D
22 Augvs Burgess Hill Town1–1D
15 Aug@ Dulwich Hamlet0–2L
11 Aug@ Cray Wanderers0–0D
8 Augvs Stanway Rovers0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Feb 2026Cheshunt v Aveley2–0
Aveley vs Cheshunt head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Flackwell Heath0 Hanwell Town1 121%4.00X14%4.00264%1.62 1.0–2.1xG 2Hanwell Town to win 64%@1.62 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aveley vs Cheshunt?

Our pick is Aveley to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Aveley vs Cheshunt?

On our numbers Aveley have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Cheshunt 22%.

How many goals will there be in Aveley vs Cheshunt?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aveley vs Cheshunt?

Our predicted score is Aveley 2–1 Cheshunt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Aveley vs Cheshunt?

Aveley vs Cheshunt (FA Cup) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.