Aragua FC 42%Draw 23%Petare FC 35%Expected goals 1.09 – 0.95
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Petare FC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAragua FC to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Aragua FC vs Petare FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Petare FC travel to face Aragua FC on Sunday 13 September in the Segunda División, with Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Aragua FC are 2nd, among the top four, on 43 points after 26 matches; Petare FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 42. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aragua FC, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Yaracuyanos FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Petare FC, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Anzoátegui FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Petare FC 2–1 Aragua FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aragua FC 1.1 xG, Petare FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aragua FC 42%, draw 23%, Petare FC 35%.
Price worth noting: Petare FC to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aragua FC 1–0 Petare FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aragua FC42%fair 2.37 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Petare FC35%fair 2.86 · @3.10
2.04Expected goals
1.09Aragua FC xG
0.95Petare FC xG
42%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Aragua FC 1.1 – 1.0 Petare FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aragua FC vs Petare FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Aragua FC vs Petare FC?
On our numbers Aragua FC have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Petare FC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Aragua FC vs Petare FC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aragua FC vs Petare FC?
Our predicted score is Aragua FC 1–0 Petare FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Aragua FC vs Petare FC?
Aragua FC vs Petare FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico el Vigia FC1
Yaracuyanos FC0