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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jalapa v Rancho Santana: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua

Jalapa

LLLLL
1–1
FT
Jalapa 63%Draw 22%Rancho Santana 15% Expected goals 1.74 – 0.69
63%
Betarazi pick

Jalapa to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultJalapa to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceJalapa or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.51

Jalapa vs Rancho Santana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 2 September the Primera Division brings Jalapa against Rancho Santana. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Jalapa are 8th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 16 matches; Rancho Santana are 9th (in the drop zone) with 10.

Current form

Jalapa, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Diriangén, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Rancho Santana, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Matagalpa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Rancho Santana, collecting 0.5 points per game to 0.0 for Jalapa.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Feb 2026) it ended Jalapa 2–0 Rancho Santana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jalapa 1.7 xG, Rancho Santana 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 41%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jalapa 63%, draw 22%, Rancho Santana 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Jalapa or draw (85%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Jalapa to win (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jalapa 1–0 Rancho Santana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jalapa63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.60
Rancho Santana15%fair 6.77 · @3.90
2.43Expected goals
1.74Jalapa xG
0.69Rancho Santana xG
41%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Jalapa 1.7 – 0.7 Rancho Santana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJalapa to win ✗63%1.591.73 ▲
Double chanceJalapa or draw ✓85%1.171.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗59%1.70–
Draw no betJalapa (draw no bet)81%1.23–
Asian handicapJalapa -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.932.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreJalapa to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultJalapa ahead at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jalapa / FT Jalapa ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.51–

Recent results

Jalapa – last 6

LLLLLL
30 Aug@ Diriangén0–2L
23 Augvs Matagalpa0–1L
17 Aug@ UNAN Managua1–2L
8 Augvs H&H Export0–1L
30 Julvs Real Estelí0–1L
26 Jul@ Managua0–3L
0.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Rancho Santana – last 6

WLLLLL
30 Aug@ Matagalpa1–0W
23 Augvs San Marcos1–2L
16 Augvs Walter Ferretti1–3L
9 Aug@ Diriangén1–2L
2 Augvs H&H Export0–1L
28 Jul@ UNAN Managua0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Feb 2026Jalapa v Rancho Santana2–0
Jalapa vs Rancho Santana head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

More Primera Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jalapa vs Rancho Santana?

Our pick is Jalapa to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Jalapa vs Rancho Santana?

On our numbers Jalapa have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rancho Santana 15%.

How many goals will there be in Jalapa vs Rancho Santana?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jalapa vs Rancho Santana?

Our predicted score is Jalapa 1–0 Rancho Santana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Jalapa vs Rancho Santana?

Jalapa vs Rancho Santana (Primera Division) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.