Independiente F.b.c. vs Encarnación: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 14 September the Division Intermedia brings Independiente F.b.c. against Encarnación. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Independiente F.b.c. are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Encarnación are 16th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Independiente F.b.c., last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo Santani, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Encarnación, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tacuary, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Independiente F.b.c., collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Encarnación.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente F.b.c. 1.4 xG, Encarnación 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente F.b.c. 45%, draw 23%, Encarnación 32%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente F.b.c. 1–1 Encarnación. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente F.b.c.45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Encarnación32%fair 3.13 · @3.30
2.57Expected goals
1.42Independiente F.b.c. xG
1.15Encarnación xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Independiente F.b.c. 1.4 – 1.1 Encarnación expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente F.b.c. to win✓
45%
2.23
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Independiente F.b.c. (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Encarnación +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Independiente F.b.c. to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente F.b.c. / FT Independiente F.b.c.✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Independiente F.b.c. – last 6
WDLDWW
9 Sep
@ Deportivo Santani
2–1
W
4 Sep
vs Fernando De La Mora
0–0
D
28 Aug
@ 3 de Noviembre
2–5
L
22 Aug
vs General Caballero
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Guairena FC
2–1
W
11 Aug
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Encarnación – last 6
DWLWLL
9 Sep
vs Tacuary
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Atlético Tembetary
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Benjamín Aceval
1–3
L
23 Aug
@ Sportivo Carapeguá
3–1
W
14 Aug
vs 12 de Junio VH
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Paraguari AC
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente F.b.c. and Encarnación.
What is the prediction for Independiente F.b.c. vs Encarnación?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Independiente F.b.c. vs Encarnación?
On our numbers Independiente F.b.c. have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Encarnación 32%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente F.b.c. vs Encarnación?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente F.b.c. vs Encarnación?
Our predicted score is Independiente F.b.c. 1–1 Encarnación, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Independiente F.b.c. vs Encarnación?
Independiente F.b.c. vs Encarnación (Division Intermedia) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
