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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alianza v CD Motagua: numbers & prediction

Concacaf Central American Cup · World

Alianza

LDWDL
0–0
FT

CD Motagua

WWDWD
Alianza 28%Draw 23%CD Motagua 50% Expected goals 1.02 – 1.48
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultCD Motagua to win ✗50% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.89

Alianza vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alianza welcome CD Motagua for a Concacaf Central American Cup fixture on Thursday 17 September (04:15 WAT).

Current form

Alianza, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CD Motagua, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

CD Motagua, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Génesis, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours CD Motagua, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Alianza.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Sep 2026) it ended CD Motagua 3–0 Alianza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alianza 1.0 xG, CD Motagua 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza 28%, draw 23%, CD Motagua 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza 1–1 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza28%fair 3.63 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
CD Motagua50%fair 2.01 · @2.10
2.50Expected goals
1.02Alianza xG
1.48CD Motagua xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Alianza 1.0 – 1.5 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Motagua to win ✗50%2.012.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.75
Draw no betCD Motagua (draw no bet)64%1.55–
Asian handicapAlianza +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreCD Motagua to score first ✗55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua ✗29%3.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.89–

Recent results

Alianza – last 6

LDWDLW
10 Sep@ CD Motagua0–3L
6 Sep@ Águila2–2D
30 Augvs Atletico Balboa2–0W
26 Aug@ Platense2–2D
23 Aug@ Isidro Metapán0–2L
20 Aug@ CD Marathon1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CD Motagua – last 6

WWDWDW
13 Sepvs Génesis1–0W
10 Sepvs Alianza3–0W
6 Sep@ Atletico Independiente0–0D
30 Augvs Olancho2–1W
26 Aug@ Municipal1–1D
22 Augvs Lobos Upnfm4–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Sep 2026CD Motagua v Alianza3–0
Alianza vs CD Motagua head-to-head page →

More Concacaf Central American Cup predictions

League hub
FT CS Cartagines3 Deportivo Saprissa2 142%2.15X24%2.88234%3.10 1.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.95 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza vs CD Motagua?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Alianza vs CD Motagua?

On our numbers Alianza have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CD Motagua 50%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza vs CD Motagua?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza vs CD Motagua?

Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Alianza vs CD Motagua?

Alianza vs CD Motagua (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 04:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.