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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

LD Alajuelense v CD Marathon: numbers & prediction

Concacaf Central American Cup · World · Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
3–1
FT
LD Alajuelense 47%Draw 23%CD Marathon 30% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.07
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16

LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Friday 18 September: LD Alajuelense v CD Marathon in the Concacaf Central American Cup, played at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.

Current form

LD Alajuelense, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to CS Cartagines, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

CD Marathon, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CD Olimpia, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours CD Marathon, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for LD Alajuelense.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Sep 2026) it ended CD Marathon 2–2 LD Alajuelense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give LD Alajuelense 1.4 xG, CD Marathon 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – LD Alajuelense 47%, draw 23%, CD Marathon 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: LD Alajuelense 1–1 CD Marathon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

LD Alajuelense47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.10
CD Marathon30%fair 3.30 · @3.30
2.50Expected goals
1.43LD Alajuelense xG
1.07CD Marathon xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: LD Alajuelense 1.4 – 1.1 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLD Alajuelense to win ✓47%2.132.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.80
Draw no betLD Alajuelense (draw no bet) ✓61%1.64–
Asian handicapCD Marathon +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreLD Alajuelense to score first ✓52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense ✓27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.16–

Recent results

LD Alajuelense – last 6

LDLDWL
14 Sep@ CS Cartagines1–3L
11 Sep@ CD Marathon2–2D
6 Sepvs Deportivo Saprissa0–2L
30 Aug@ Perez Zeledon1–1D
27 Augvs Plaza Amador3–1W
24 Augvs San Carlos0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CD Marathon – last 6

WDWWWD
14 Sepvs CD Olimpia1–0W
11 Sepvs LD Alajuelense2–2D
6 Sepvs Estrella Roja5–0W
29 Aug@ Génesis2–1W
27 Augvs Real Estelí3–0W
23 Augvs Real Espana1–1D
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Sep 2026CD Marathon v LD Alajuelense2–2
LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon?

On our numbers LD Alajuelense have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CD Marathon 30%.

How many goals will there be in LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon?

Our predicted score is LD Alajuelense 1–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon?

LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.