El Nacional 66%Draw 24%22 de Julio 10%Expected goals 1.60 – 0.44
66%
Betarazi pick
El Nacional to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultEl Nacional to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceEl Nacional or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.67
El Nacional vs 22 de Julio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Liga Pro Serie B brings El Nacional against 22 de Julio. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, El Nacional are 12th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 22 matches; 22 de Julio are 11th (in the drop zone) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
El Nacional, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to LDU Portoviejo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
22 de Julio, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Santo Domingo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours El Nacional, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for 22 de Julio.
Head to head
When they last met (31 Jul 2026) it ended 22 de Julio 1–3 El Nacional.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Nacional 1.6 xG, 22 de Julio 0.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Nacional 66%, draw 24%, 22 de Julio 10%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was El Nacional to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Nacional 1–0 22 de Julio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Nacional66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.80
22 de Julio10%fair 10.40 · @5.80
2.04Expected goals
1.60El Nacional xG
0.4422 de Julio xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
2–017%
0–013%
1–19%
3–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: El Nacional 1.6 – 0.4 22 de Julio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Nacional vs 22 de Julio?
Our pick is El Nacional to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win El Nacional vs 22 de Julio?
On our numbers El Nacional have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and 22 de Julio 10%.
How many goals will there be in El Nacional vs 22 de Julio?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Nacional vs 22 de Julio?
Our predicted score is El Nacional 1–0 22 de Julio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is El Nacional vs 22 de Julio?
El Nacional vs 22 de Julio (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
