El Nacional vs Cumbayá: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: El Nacional v Cumbayá in the Liga Pro Serie B. In the table, El Nacional are 12th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 22 matches; Cumbayá are 10th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
El Nacional, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Santo Domingo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Cumbayá, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 7–1 win over 22 de Julio, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Jul 2026) it ended El Nacional 0–1 Cumbayá.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Nacional 1.0 xG, Cumbayá 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Nacional 29%, draw 22%, Cumbayá 48%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.84.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Nacional 0–1 Cumbayá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Nacional29%fair 3.43 · @3.32
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Cumbayá48%fair 2.07 · @1.97
2.30Expected goals
0.95El Nacional xG
1.35Cumbayá xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: El Nacional 1.0 – 1.3 Cumbayá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
On our numbers El Nacional have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cumbayá 48%.
How many goals will there be in El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
Our predicted score is El Nacional 0–1 Cumbayá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
El Nacional vs Cumbayá (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
