LDU Portoviejo 63%Draw 22%El Nacional 15%Expected goals 1.60 – 0.58
63%
Betarazi pick
LDU Portoviejo to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultLDU Portoviejo to win ✓63% · @1.45
Double chanceLDU Portoviejo or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.55
LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:30 WAT, Saturday 3 October: LDU Portoviejo v El Nacional in the Liga Pro Serie B, played at Estadio Reales Tamarindos. In the table, LDU Portoviejo are 9th, lower half, on 27 points after 22 matches; El Nacional are 12th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
LDU Portoviejo, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with 22 de Julio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
El Nacional, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cumbayá, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours LDU Portoviejo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for El Nacional.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended El Nacional 0–2 LDU Portoviejo. The last 2 head-to-heads: LDU Portoviejo 2 wins, El Nacional 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give LDU Portoviejo 1.6 xG, El Nacional 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – LDU Portoviejo 63%, draw 22%, El Nacional 15%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was LDU Portoviejo to win (63%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU Portoviejo 1–0 El Nacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
LDU Portoviejo63%fair 1.58 · @1.45
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.70
El Nacional15%fair 6.81 · @6.25
2.18Expected goals
1.60LDU Portoviejo xG
0.58El Nacional xG
42%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: LDU Portoviejo 1.6 – 0.6 El Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional?
Our pick is LDU Portoviejo to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional?
On our numbers LDU Portoviejo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and El Nacional 15%.
How many goals will there be in LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional?
Our predicted score is LDU Portoviejo 1–0 El Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional?
LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Reales Tamarindos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
