Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Cumbayá vs El Nacional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cumbayá welcome El Nacional for a Liga Pro Serie B fixture on Thursday 22 October (21:00 WAT). In the table, Cumbayá are 10th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 22 matches; El Nacional are 12th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cumbayá, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 7–1 win over 22 de Julio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
El Nacional, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Santo Domingo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cumbayá, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for El Nacional.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended El Nacional 0–3 Cumbayá. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cumbayá 2 wins, El Nacional 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cumbayá 2.0 xG, El Nacional 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cumbayá 68%, draw 20%, El Nacional 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cumbayá to win (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cumbayá 1–0 El Nacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cumbayá68%fair 1.46 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @4.20
El Nacional12%fair 8.35 · @6.25
2.61Expected goals
1.95Cumbayá xG
0.66El Nacional xG
43%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cumbayá 2.0 – 0.7 El Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cumbayá vs El Nacional?
Our pick is Cumbayá to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Cumbayá vs El Nacional?
On our numbers Cumbayá have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and El Nacional 12%.
How many goals will there be in Cumbayá vs El Nacional?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cumbayá vs El Nacional?
Our predicted score is Cumbayá 1–0 El Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cumbayá vs El Nacional?
Cumbayá vs El Nacional (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
