El Nacional 15%Draw 23%Gualaceo SC 62%Expected goals 0.71 – 1.73
62%
Betarazi pick
Gualaceo SC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultGualaceo SC to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceGualaceo SC or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.59
El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 27 October the Liga Pro Serie B brings El Nacional against Gualaceo SC. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, El Nacional are 12th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 22 matches; Gualaceo SC are 7th (lower half) with 29. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
El Nacional, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cumbayá, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Gualaceo SC, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santo Domingo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gualaceo SC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for El Nacional.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Gualaceo SC 3–0 El Nacional. The last 2 head-to-heads: El Nacional 0 wins, Gualaceo SC 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Nacional 0.7 xG, Gualaceo SC 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Nacional 15%, draw 23%, Gualaceo SC 62%.
Lower-risk option: Gualaceo SC or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gualaceo SC to win (62%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Nacional 0–1 Gualaceo SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Nacional15%fair 6.75 · @4.33
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.25
Gualaceo SC62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
2.43Expected goals
0.71El Nacional xG
1.73Gualaceo SC xG
42%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: El Nacional 0.7 – 1.7 Gualaceo SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
Our pick is Gualaceo SC to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
On our numbers El Nacional have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gualaceo SC 62%.
How many goals will there be in El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
Our predicted score is El Nacional 0–1 Gualaceo SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
