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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerrito v Paysandu: numbers & prediction

Cerrito

LLWDL
1–2
FT
Cerrito 46%Draw 23%Paysandu 31% Expected goals 1.39 – 1.09
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerrito to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33

Cerrito vs Paysandu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cerrito welcome Paysandu for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 5 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Cerrito are 8th, lower half, on 34 points after 25 matches; Paysandu are 5th (upper half) with 35. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cerrito, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo Maldonado, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Paysandu, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atenas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Paysandu, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Cerrito.

Head to head

When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Paysandu 0–1 Cerrito.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerrito 1.4 xG, Paysandu 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerrito 46%, draw 23%, Paysandu 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerrito 1–1 Paysandu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerrito46%fair 2.20 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Paysandu31%fair 3.21 · @3.40
2.48Expected goals
1.39Cerrito xG
1.09Paysandu xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Cerrito 1.4 – 1.1 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerrito to win ✗46%2.202.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.75
Draw no betCerrito (draw no bet) ✗59%1.68–
Asian handicapPaysandu +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreCerrito to score first51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerrito / FT Cerrito ✗26%3.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.33–

Recent results

Cerrito – last 6

LLWDLD
2 Sepvs Deportivo Maldonado0–2L
29 Aug@ Sportivo Huracan1–2L
22 Augvs Uruguay Montevideo3–0W
14 Augvs Oriental1–1D
8 Aug@ Colón0–1L
2 Augvs Fenix1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Paysandu – last 6

WDLLWW
29 Augvs Atenas2–0W
22 Augvs CA River Plate0–0D
15 Aug@ Sportivo Huracan2–3L
8 Aug@ Uruguay Montevideo0–1L
3 Augvs Oriental2–1W
25 Jul@ Colón3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 May 2026Paysandu v Cerrito0–1
Cerrito vs Paysandu head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerrito vs Paysandu?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Cerrito vs Paysandu?

On our numbers Cerrito have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paysandu 31%.

How many goals will there be in Cerrito vs Paysandu?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerrito vs Paysandu?

Our predicted score is Cerrito 1–1 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Cerrito vs Paysandu?

Cerrito vs Paysandu (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.