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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlético Choloma v Olancho: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Ruben Deras
0–0
FT

Olancho

LDWDW
Atlético Choloma 21%Draw 20%Olancho 60% Expected goals 0.62 – 1.38
60%
Betarazi pick

Olancho to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultOlancho to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.51

Atlético Choloma vs Olancho: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atlético Choloma welcome Olancho to Estadio Ruben Deras for a Liga Nacional fixture on Saturday 5 September (02:00 WAT). In the table, Atlético Choloma are 9th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Olancho are 7th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Atlético Choloma, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Espana, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Olancho, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CD Motagua, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Olancho 3–1 Atlético Choloma.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Choloma 0.6 xG, Olancho 1.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Choloma 21%, draw 20%, Olancho 60%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Olancho to win (60%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Choloma 0–1 Olancho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlético Choloma21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Draw20%fair 5.13 · @3.60
Olancho60%fair 1.68 · @1.83
2.00Expected goals
0.62Atlético Choloma xG
1.38Olancho xG
55%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–119%
0–014%
0–213%
1–112%
1–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Atlético Choloma 0.6 – 1.4 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlancho to win ✗60%1.681.83 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.801.55
Draw no betOlancho (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapAtlético Choloma +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreOlancho to score first ✗60%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olancho / FT Olancho ✗33%3.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.51–

Recent results

Atlético Choloma – last 6

LWLLLW
31 Aug@ Real Espana1–2L
23 Augvs Platense FC2–0W
16 Augvs CD Marathon0–1L
10 Aug@ Atletico Independiente1–2L
1 Aug@ Génesis0–2L
1 May@ CD Marathon1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Olancho – last 6

LDWDWL
30 Aug@ CD Motagua1–2L
24 Augvs CD Olimpia1–1D
17 Augvs Juticalpa1–0W
9 Aug@ Lobos Upnfm1–1D
3 Aug@ Estrella Roja1–0W
13 Mayvs CD Motagua0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Olancho v Atlético Choloma3–1
Atlético Choloma vs Olancho head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlético Choloma vs Olancho?

Our pick is Olancho to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Atlético Choloma vs Olancho?

On our numbers Atlético Choloma have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Olancho 60%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético Choloma vs Olancho?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlético Choloma vs Olancho?

Our predicted score is Atlético Choloma 0–1 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Atlético Choloma vs Olancho?

Atlético Choloma vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruben Deras.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.