Atlético Choloma 21%Draw 20%Olancho 60%Expected goals 0.62 – 1.38
60%
Betarazi pick
Olancho to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Picks by market
ResultOlancho to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.51
Atlético Choloma vs Olancho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Choloma welcome Olancho to Estadio Ruben Deras for a Liga Nacional fixture on Saturday 5 September (02:00 WAT). In the table, Atlético Choloma are 9th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Olancho are 7th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Atlético Choloma, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Espana, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Olancho, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CD Motagua, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Olancho 3–1 Atlético Choloma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Choloma 0.6 xG, Olancho 1.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Choloma 21%, draw 20%, Olancho 60%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Olancho to win (60%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Choloma 0–1 Olancho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Choloma21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Draw20%fair 5.13 · @3.60
Olancho60%fair 1.68 · @1.83
2.00Expected goals
0.62Atlético Choloma xG
1.38Olancho xG
55%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–119%
0–014%
0–213%
1–112%
1–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Atlético Choloma 0.6 – 1.4 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Choloma vs Olancho?
Our pick is Olancho to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Atlético Choloma vs Olancho?
On our numbers Atlético Choloma have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Olancho 60%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Choloma vs Olancho?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Choloma vs Olancho?
Our predicted score is Atlético Choloma 0–1 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Atlético Choloma vs Olancho?
Atlético Choloma vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruben Deras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.