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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CD Marathon v CD Olimpia: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Yankel Rosenthal
1–0
FT
CD Marathon 43%Draw 22%CD Olimpia 35% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.26
51%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultCD Marathon to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34

CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:15 WAT, Monday 14 September: CD Marathon v CD Olimpia in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal. In the table, CD Marathon are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; CD Olimpia are 1st (leading the league) with 33.

Current form

CD Marathon, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with LD Alajuelense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

CD Olimpia, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Firpo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours CD Olimpia, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for CD Marathon.

Head to head

When they last met (16 May 2026) it ended CD Marathon 1–0 CD Olimpia. The last 3 head-to-heads: CD Marathon 1 win, CD Olimpia 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CD Marathon 1.5 xG, CD Olimpia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CD Marathon 43%, draw 22%, CD Olimpia 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Marathon 1–1 CD Olimpia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CD Marathon43%fair 2.30 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
CD Olimpia35%fair 2.87 · @2.90
2.72Expected goals
1.45CD Marathon xG
1.26CD Olimpia xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: CD Marathon 1.5 – 1.3 CD Olimpia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Marathon to win ✓43%2.302.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.98–
Draw no betCD Marathon (draw no bet) ✓56%1.80–
Asian handicapCD Olimpia +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.941.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreCD Marathon to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon ✗24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.34–

Recent results

CD Marathon – last 6

DWWWDL
11 Sepvs LD Alajuelense2–2D
6 Sepvs Estrella Roja5–0W
29 Aug@ Génesis2–1W
27 Augvs Real Estelí3–0W
23 Augvs Real Espana1–1D
20 Augvs Alianza0–1L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

CD Olimpia – last 6

WWDWDW
11 Sep@ Firpo3–0W
4 Sepvs Platense FC4–1W
30 Aug@ Estrella Roja2–2D
28 Augvs Deportivo Saprissa2–1W
24 Aug@ Olancho1–1D
21 Aug@ Alianza FC3–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 May 2026CD Marathon v CD Olimpia1–0
7 May 2026CD Olimpia v CD Marathon2–0
23 Apr 2026CD Olimpia v CD Marathon2–1
CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

On our numbers CD Marathon have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Olimpia 35%.

How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Our predicted score is CD Marathon 1–1 CD Olimpia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.