CD Olimpia 68%Draw 22%Atletico Independiente 10%Expected goals 2.07 – 0.71
68%
Betarazi pick
CD Olimpia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultCD Olimpia to win ✓68% · @1.33
Double chanceCD Olimpia or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 10.90
CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Independiente travel to face CD Olimpia on Monday 21 September in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles the venue – the ball rolls at 00:15 WAT. In the table, CD Olimpia are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 14 matches; Atletico Independiente are 10th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CD Olimpia, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Firpo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Atletico Independiente, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Juticalpa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CD Olimpia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Atletico Independiente.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Olimpia 2.1 xG, Atletico Independiente 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Olimpia 68%, draw 22%, Atletico Independiente 10%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CD Olimpia to win (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Olimpia 2–0 Atletico Independiente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Olimpia68%fair 1.48 · @1.33
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.33
Atletico Independiente10%fair 9.68 · @7.50
2.77Expected goals
2.07CD Olimpia xG
0.71Atletico Independiente xG
43%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–16%
From our goals model: CD Olimpia 2.1 – 0.7 Atletico Independiente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Olimpia to win✓
68%
1.48
1.33
Double chance
CD Olimpia or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
CD Olimpia (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
CD Olimpia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
CD Olimpia to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
CD Olimpia ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Olimpia / FT CD Olimpia✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
CD Olimpia – last 6
WLWWDW
18 Sep
vs Firpo
3–0
W
14 Sep
@ CD Marathon
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Firpo
3–0
W
4 Sep
vs Platense FC
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ Estrella Roja
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs Deportivo Saprissa
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atletico Independiente – last 6
WDLDDW
14 Sep
vs Juticalpa
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs CD Motagua
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Platense FC
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Génesis
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Real Espana
1–1
D
10 Aug
vs Atlético Choloma
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Olimpia and Atletico Independiente.
What is the prediction for CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente?
Our pick is CD Olimpia to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente?
On our numbers CD Olimpia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Independiente 10%.
How many goals will there be in CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente?
Our predicted score is CD Olimpia 2–0 Atletico Independiente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente?
CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
