Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultOlancho to win ✗66% · @1.53
Double chanceOlancho or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Olancho vs Atletico Independiente: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Olancho welcome Atletico Independiente to Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas for a Liga Nacional fixture on Monday 12 October (00:15 WAT). In the table, Olancho are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Atletico Independiente are 10th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Olancho, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Génesis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atletico Independiente, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to CD Olimpia, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olancho 1.9 xG, Atletico Independiente 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olancho 66%, draw 20%, Atletico Independiente 13%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Olancho to win (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olancho 1–0 Atletico Independiente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olancho66%fair 1.51 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.10
Atletico Independiente13%fair 7.50 · @4.50
2.57Expected goals
1.88Olancho xG
0.68Atletico Independiente xG
46%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Olancho 1.9 – 0.7 Atletico Independiente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olancho to win✗
66%
1.51
1.53
Double chance
Olancho or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Olancho (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Olancho -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Olancho to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Olancho ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olancho / FT Olancho✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
11.72
–
Recent results
Olancho – last 6
DDDLDW
19 Sep
@ Génesis
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Real Espana
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Atlético Choloma
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ CD Motagua
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs CD Olimpia
1–1
D
17 Aug
vs Juticalpa
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atletico Independiente – last 6
LWDLDD
21 Sep
@ CD Olimpia
0–4
L
14 Sep
vs Juticalpa
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs CD Motagua
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Platense FC
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Génesis
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Real Espana
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olancho and Atletico Independiente.
What is the prediction for Olancho vs Atletico Independiente?
Our pick is Olancho to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Olancho vs Atletico Independiente?
On our numbers Olancho have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atletico Independiente 13%.
How many goals will there be in Olancho vs Atletico Independiente?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olancho vs Atletico Independiente?
Our predicted score is Olancho 1–0 Atletico Independiente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Olancho vs Atletico Independiente?
Olancho vs Atletico Independiente (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
