Value bet: Apollon Pontou to win @ 3.75 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAsteras Tripolis II to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.24
Asteras Tripolis II vs Apollon Pontou: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Super League 2 brings Asteras Tripolis II against Apollon Pontou. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Asteras Tripolis II are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Apollon Pontou are 14th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Asteras Tripolis II, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Panserraikos, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Apollon Pontou, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Panionios, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Apollon Pontou, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Asteras Tripolis II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Asteras Tripolis II 1.1 xG, Apollon Pontou 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Asteras Tripolis II 45%, draw 24%, Apollon Pontou 31%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Apollon Pontou to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Asteras Tripolis II 1–1 Apollon Pontou. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Asteras Tripolis II45%fair 2.22 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.88
Apollon Pontou31%fair 3.27 · @3.75
2.00Expected goals
1.14Asteras Tripolis II xG
0.86Apollon Pontou xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Asteras Tripolis II 1.1 – 0.9 Apollon Pontou expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Asteras Tripolis II to win✓
45%
2.22
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.05
Draw no bet
Asteras Tripolis II (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Apollon Pontou +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Asteras Tripolis II to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Asteras Tripolis II / FT Asteras Tripolis II✓
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.24
–
Recent results
Asteras Tripolis II – last 4
LLLW
13 Sep
@ Panserraikos
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Panionios
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Iraklis 1908
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Anagennisi Karditsas
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Apollon Pontou – last 6
LDLWDW
14 Sep
@ Panionios
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ Ellas Syros
2–2
D
19 Aug
@ Nestos Chrisoupolis
0–1
L
17 May
vs Panthrakikos
2–0
W
13 May
@ Elassona
0–0
D
10 May
vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asteras Tripolis II and Apollon Pontou.
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis II vs Apollon Pontou?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Asteras Tripolis II vs Apollon Pontou?
On our numbers Asteras Tripolis II have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Apollon Pontou 31%.
How many goals will there be in Asteras Tripolis II vs Apollon Pontou?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asteras Tripolis II vs Apollon Pontou?
Our predicted score is Asteras Tripolis II 1–1 Apollon Pontou, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Asteras Tripolis II vs Apollon Pontou?
Asteras Tripolis II vs Apollon Pontou (Super League 2) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
