Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLarisa to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceLarisa or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓67% · fair 1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62% · @1.85
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗23% · fair 4.33
Pyrgos 1968 vs Larisa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Monday 21 September: Pyrgos 1968 v Larisa in the Super League 2. In the table, Pyrgos 1968 are 12th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Larisa are 3rd (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Pyrgos 1968, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nestos Chrisoupolis, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Larisa, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kalamata, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Larisa, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Pyrgos 1968.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pyrgos 1968 0.4 xG, Larisa 1.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pyrgos 1968 14%, draw 20%, Larisa 66%.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Larisa to win (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pyrgos 1968 0–1 Larisa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pyrgos 196814%fair 7.30 · @5.50
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.70
Larisa66%fair 1.51 · @1.62
1.81Expected goals
0.40Pyrgos 1968 xG
1.41Larisa xG
33%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–123%
0–016%
0–216%
1–19%
0–38%
1–07%
From our goals model: Pyrgos 1968 0.4 – 1.4 Larisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larisa to win✓
66%
1.51
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Larisa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
–
Draw no bet
Larisa (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Larisa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Larisa to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larisa / FT Larisa✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
23%
4.33
–
Recent results
Pyrgos 1968 – last 6
LDLWLW
13 Sep
@ Nestos Chrisoupolis
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Panthrakikos
0–0
D
18 Aug
@ Atromitos
1–3
L
17 May
@ Aris Petroupolis
2–1
W
13 May
@ Ethnikos Piraeus
0–2
L
3 May
vs Aris Petroupolis
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Larisa – last 6
DWDLWW
17 Sep
@ Kalamata
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Zakynthos
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Anagennisi Karditsas
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–4
L
17 Aug
@ Kallithea
3–1
W
11 Aug
@ Trikala
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pyrgos 1968 and Larisa.
Our pick is Larisa to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Pyrgos 1968 vs Larisa?
On our numbers Pyrgos 1968 have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Larisa 66%.
How many goals will there be in Pyrgos 1968 vs Larisa?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 33% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pyrgos 1968 vs Larisa?
Our predicted score is Pyrgos 1968 0–1 Larisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Pyrgos 1968 vs Larisa?
Pyrgos 1968 vs Larisa (Super League 2) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
