Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Larisa to win @ 3.30 – our chance 38% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLarisa to win ✗38% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Niki Volos vs Larisa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:45 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Niki Volos v Larisa in the Super League 2. In the table, Niki Volos are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 10 matches; Larisa are 3rd (among the top four) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Niki Volos, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Nestos Chrisoupolis, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Larisa, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over PAOK II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Larisa, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Niki Volos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Niki Volos 1.1 xG, Larisa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Niki Volos 38%, draw 24%, Larisa 38%.
Price worth noting: Larisa to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Niki Volos 1–1 Larisa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Niki Volos38%fair 2.65 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Larisa38%fair 2.62 · @3.30
2.19Expected goals
1.09Niki Volos xG
1.10Larisa xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Niki Volos 1.1 – 1.1 Larisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larisa to win✗
38%
2.62
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Larisa (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Niki Volos +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Larisa to score first
45%
2.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larisa / FT Larisa✗
20%
5.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.11
–
Recent results
Niki Volos – last 6
WLLLLL
27 Sep
vs Nestos Chrisoupolis
2–0
W
21 Sep
@ Panthrakikos
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs Asteras Tripolis
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Olympiakos Piraeus II
1–2
L
7 Sep
@ Kallithea
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Panathinaikos
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Larisa – last 6
WWDWDL
27 Sep
vs PAOK II
1–0
W
21 Sep
@ Pyrgos 1968
4–0
W
17 Sep
@ Kalamata
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Zakynthos
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Anagennisi Karditsas
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Niki Volos and Larisa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Niki Volos vs Larisa?
On our numbers Niki Volos have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Larisa 38%.
How many goals will there be in Niki Volos vs Larisa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Niki Volos vs Larisa?
Our predicted score is Niki Volos 1–1 Larisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Niki Volos vs Larisa?
Niki Volos vs Larisa (Super League 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 12:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
