Value bet: Larisa to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMarko to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.83
Marko vs Larisa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Larisa travel to face Marko on Sunday 11 October in the Super League 2 – the ball rolls at 12:45 WAT. In the table, Marko are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 10 matches; Larisa are 3rd (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Marko, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nestos Chrisoupolis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Larisa, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Niki Volos, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Marko, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Larisa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marko 1.3 xG, Larisa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marko 41%, draw 23%, Larisa 36%.
Price worth noting: Larisa to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marko 1–1 Larisa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marko41%fair 2.45 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
Larisa36%fair 2.77 · @3.10
2.58Expected goals
1.34Marko xG
1.24Larisa xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Marko 1.3 – 1.2 Larisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marko to win✓
41%
2.45
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Marko (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Larisa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Marko to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marko / FT Marko✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.83
–
Recent results
Marko – last 6
WWWLWW
5 Oct
@ Nestos Chrisoupolis
2–1
W
28 Sep
vs Panthrakikos
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Olympiakos Piraeus II
3–2
W
16 Sep
@ Aris Thessalonikis
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Kallithea
2–1
W
7 Sep
vs Panserraikos
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Larisa – last 6
DWWDWD
3 Oct
@ Niki Volos
2–2
D
27 Sep
vs PAOK II
1–0
W
21 Sep
@ Pyrgos 1968
4–0
W
17 Sep
@ Kalamata
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Zakynthos
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Anagennisi Karditsas
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marko and Larisa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Marko vs Larisa?
On our numbers Marko have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Larisa 36%.
How many goals will there be in Marko vs Larisa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marko vs Larisa?
Our predicted score is Marko 1–1 Larisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Marko vs Larisa?
Marko vs Larisa (Super League 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
