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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orlando Pirates v Mamelodi Sundowns: numbers & prediction

8 Cup · South-Africa · Moses Mabhida Stadium

Orlando Pirates

WWWDW
0–2
FT

Mamelodi Sundowns

WDWWW
Orlando Pirates 40%Draw 25%Mamelodi Sundowns 35% Expected goals 1.56 – 1.44
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultOrlando Pirates to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49

Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Orlando Pirates welcome Mamelodi Sundowns to Moses Mabhida Stadium for a 8 Cup fixture on Saturday 10 October (17:00 WAT).

Current form

Orlando Pirates, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Marumo Gallants, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Mamelodi Sundowns, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al-Ahli Jeddah, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Feb 2026) it ended Orlando Pirates 1–2 Mamelodi Sundowns.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orlando Pirates 1.6 xG, Mamelodi Sundowns 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orlando Pirates 40%, draw 25%, Mamelodi Sundowns 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orlando Pirates 1–1 Mamelodi Sundowns. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orlando Pirates40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.75
Mamelodi Sundowns35%fair 2.85 · @2.50
3.00Expected goals
1.56Orlando Pirates xG
1.44Mamelodi Sundowns xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Orlando Pirates 1.6 – 1.4 Mamelodi Sundowns expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrlando Pirates to win ✗40%2.502.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.762.00 ▲
Draw no betOrlando Pirates (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapMamelodi Sundowns +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreOrlando Pirates to score first ✗49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Orlando Pirates / FT Orlando Pirates ✗24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.49–

Recent results

Orlando Pirates – last 6

WWWDWW
20 Sep@ Marumo Gallants2–0W
17 Sepvs Durban City2–0W
12 Sepvs La Cure Waves3–1W
6 Sep@ La Cure Waves0–0D
1 Sep@ Kruger United4–0W
29 Augvs Sekhukhune United3–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6

WDWWWW
19 Sepvs Al-Ahli Jeddah2–1W
12 Sep@ Chippa United1–1D
9 Sepvs Siwelele3–0W
6 Sep@ Golden Arrows2–1W
2 Sepvs Milford FC2–0W
30 Aug@ Golden Arrows3–2W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Feb 2026Orlando Pirates v Mamelodi Sundowns1–2
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

On our numbers Orlando Pirates have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mamelodi Sundowns 35%.

How many goals will there be in Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Our predicted score is Orlando Pirates 1–1 Mamelodi Sundowns, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns (8 Cup) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Moses Mabhida Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.