Peninsula Power 41%Draw 21%Moreton City Excelsior 38%Expected goals 1.87 – 1.80
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Moreton City Excelsior to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPeninsula Power to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.45
Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 5 September the Queensland NPL brings Peninsula Power against Moreton City Excelsior at AJ Kelly Park. Kick-off: 08:00 WAT.
Current form
Peninsula Power, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Lions, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Moreton City Excelsior, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gold Coast Knights, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Moreton City Excelsior, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Peninsula Power.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Moreton City Excelsior 2–2 Peninsula Power. The last 2 head-to-heads: Peninsula Power 0 wins, Moreton City Excelsior 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Peninsula Power 1.9 xG, Moreton City Excelsior 1.8 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Peninsula Power 41%, draw 21%, Moreton City Excelsior 38%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Moreton City Excelsior to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peninsula Power 1–1 Moreton City Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Peninsula Power41%fair 2.43 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Moreton City Excelsior38%fair 2.63 · @2.80
3.67Expected goals
1.87Peninsula Power xG
1.80Moreton City Excelsior xG
66%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Peninsula Power 1.9 – 1.8 Moreton City Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
On our numbers Peninsula Power have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Moreton City Excelsior 38%.
How many goals will there be in Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Peninsula Power 1–1 Moreton City Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at AJ Kelly Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia · AJ Kelly Park
